Evaluating Econometric Forecasts of Economic and Financial Variables

Evaluating Econometric Forecasts of Economic and Financial Variables
ISBN-10
0230596142
ISBN-13
9780230596146
Category
Business & Economics
Pages
173
Language
English
Published
2005-01-21
Publisher
Springer
Author
M. Clements

Description

Financial econometrics is one of the greatest on-going success stories of recent decades, as it has become one of the most active areas of research in econometrics. In this book, Michael Clements presents a clear and logical explanation of the key concepts and ideas of forecasts of economic and financial variables. He shows that forecasts of the single most likely outcome of an economic and financial variable are of limited value. Forecasts that provide more information on the expected likely ranges of outcomes are more relevant. This book provides a comprehensive treatment of the evaluation of different types of forecasts and draws out the parallels between the different approaches. It describes the methods of evaluating these more complex forecasts which provide a fuller description of the range of possible future outcomes.

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