Before the Vote: Forecasting American National Elections
- ISBN-10
- 0761916377
- ISBN-13
- 9780761916376
- Category
- Political Science / Public Affairs & Administration
- Pages
- 224
- Language
- English
- Published
- 2000
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Authors
- James E. Campbell, James Garand
Description
Since the famous 1948 Dewey/Truman election, the role of polling has taken on increasing prominence in the American electoral process. Editors James Campbell and James Garand have pulled together some of the leading figures in political science to present their forecasts of the 1996 presidential election, along with accompanying analyses which discuss their methodology. Despite the relative lack of suspense about the eventual outcome, the various contributors have some very different angles on the enterprise of forecasting. Before the Vote presents a series of critiques, from prominent political scientists who look at the forecasting enterprise. Issues include whether more accurate models of predicting voter behavior damages the political climate by making politicians increasingly enslaved by pollsters, and the effect on turnout when there is a broad consensus of who the eventual winner will be. It will be a valuable addition to the bookshelves of political scientists interested in American electoral politics and those interested in broad questions surrounding social science research methods.
Get the book
Similar books
-
改革政府
By 戴维·奥斯本, 特德·盖布勒本书对美国无论是公营部门还是私营公司十分严重的官僚主义现象，开出了十种“药方”，而作者提出最主要的办法就是用“企业家精神”来克服官僚主义，即政府要讲究实效，按效 ...
-
A Call to Civic Service: National Service for Country and Community
By Charles C. MoskosJoyce Seltzer , my editor , and other members of the Free Press staff performed superhuman labors to publish the manuscript in rapid ... John J. Mearsheimer , Sam C. Sarkesian , David R. Segal , John Alden Williams , and Frank R. Wood .
-
Saving the Mail: How to Solve the Problems of the U.S. Postal Service
By Rick Geddes, R. Richard Geddes... Jr. Resident Scholar Randall Lutter Resident Scholar John H. Makin Resident Scholar ; Director , Fiscal Policy Studies Allan H. Meltzer Visiting Scholar Joshua Muravchik Resident Scholar Charles Murray Bradley Fellow Michael Novak ...
-
Sir Humphrey's Legacy: Facing Up to the Cost of Public Sector Pensions
By Philip Booth, Neil Record, Nick SilverThe Benefits or Costs of EU Membership Brian Hindley & Martin Howe Occasional Paper 99 ( new edition ) ; ISBN 0 255 36502 0 £ 10.00 Buckingham at 25 Freeing the Universities from State Control Edited by James Tooley Readings 55 ; ISBN 0 ...
-
A Casebook of Alternative Governance Structures and Organizational Forms
By Sheila Nataraj Kirby, Michael Hynes, Jennifer Sloan McCombsThis study is a short-term effort examining alternative ways that government can carry out its activities.
-
The American Bibliography of Slavic and East European Studies for 1993
By Patt Leonard, Rebecca RouthThis bibliography, first published in 1957, provides citations to North American academic literature on Europe, Central Europe, the Balkans, the Baltic States and the former Soviet Union. Organised by discipline,...
-
Government by the People: The Dynamics of American National Government
By James MacGregor Burns, Jack Walter PeltasonSince 1937 , and especially since 1954 , as a result of the Warren Court's active defense of individual liberties , liberals insist that in Supreme Court rachels CHAPTER 19 The Judges 465 protecting fundamental constitutional guarantees ...
-
Public Expenditure Review of Armenia
By World Bank, Armenia, Lev M. FreinkmanComments and suggestions were provided by Konstantin Atanesyan , Ani Balabanyan , David Davtian , Mohammad Reza Ghasimi , Karen Grigorian , Susanna Hayrapetyan , Artak Kyurumyan , Heath McDonald , Naira Melkumyan , Gayane Minasyan ...
-
腐败：人性与文化
By （美）迪特尔·哈勒, （新西兰）克里斯·肖尔美国房产协会(始于20 世纪20年代)与像莱维特这类在意识形态上反共的开发商一起,鼓励在使用非工会劳动力的工厂里生产预制装配式房屋。这对建筑行业中的工会极为不利。与此同时,低成本房屋的产量不断增大,顺应了日益增长的需求。
-
中国问责：十年风雨路
By 韩志明广泛参与——网络问责的基础某一事件虽然被网络曝光,但如果没有得到足够的跟帖、BBS、博客、微博讨论,那就意味着公众对这件事缺乏足够的兴趣,这件事也就很容易石 沉大海,而不能产生足够的问责力量。换言之,网络问责必须靠人多势众来制造影响力,获得社会公众 ...