Armenia: An Assessment of the Real Exchange Rate and Competitiveness

Armenia: An Assessment of the Real Exchange Rate and Competitiveness
ISBN-10
1455211958
ISBN-13
9781455211951
Series
Armenia
Category
Business & Economics
Pages
41
Language
English
Published
2011-01-01
Publisher
International Monetary Fund
Authors
Anke Weber, Ms.Chunfang Yang

Description

This paper uses a range of different methodologies to estimate the equilibrium real exchange rate in Armenia with both single-country and panel estimation techniques. We estimate a country specific autoregressive distributed lag model and then proceed with the estimation of a cointegrated panel consisting of transition economies in Europe and Central Asia. This addresses cross section dependence by using common correlated effects estimators. While our analysis focuses on Armenia, the methods are applicable to a large number of transition economies, and the paper thus provides an overview of methods that can be used to assess a country’s equilibrium exchange rate.

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