Analysis of Economic Time Series: A Synthesis integrates several topics in economic time-series analysis, including the formulation and estimation of distributed-lag models of dynamic economic behavior; the application of spectral analysis in the study of the behavior of economic time series; and unobserved-components models for economic time series and the closely related problem of seasonal adjustment. Comprised of 14 chapters, this volume begins with a historical background on the use of unobserved components in the analysis of economic time series, followed by an Introduction to the theory of stationary time series. Subsequent chapters focus on the spectral representation and its estimation; formulation of distributed-lag models; elements of the theory of prediction and extraction; and formulation of unobserved-components models and canonical forms. Seasonal adjustment techniques and multivariate mixed moving-average autoregressive time-series models are also considered. Finally, a time-series model of the U.S. cattle industry is presented. This monograph will be of value to mathematicians, economists, and those interested in economic theory, econometrics, and mathematical economics.
In seminars and graduate level courses I have had several opportunities to discuss modeling and analysis of time series with economists and economic graduate students during the past several years....
... methods of analyzing a time series; both Mitsuo Suzuki and Herman Karreman for advising and correcting the first draft of the manuscript; my wife Patricia for help with numerous details, and Mr. J. Wilson of Princeton University ...
This compilation of 21 chapters showcases the cross-fertilization between the fields of time s
The results of this section can be generalized, as discussed by Engel [1984], where conditions are provided to assure that the sum of two dependent Gaussian ARMA processes is ARMA. Engel further shows that if X, is Gaussian ARMA with ...
... A.W. , 168 Griliches , Z. , 140 , 223 Chipman , J.S. , 193 Chow , G.C. , 352 , 356 , 357 Collier , P. , 158 , 189 Cox ... 138 , 339 Hendry , D.F. , 189 , 216 , 283 , 286 , 287 , 291 , 292 , 294 , 300 , 311 , 330 , 339 , 357 Hinkley ...
Durland , J. M. and McCurdy , T. H. ( 1994 ) . Duration dependent transitions in a Markov model of US GNP growth . Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , 12 , 279–288 . Emerson , R. A. ( 1994 ) . Two essays on Investment Trusts ...
Seasonal Analysis of Economic Time Series
Davies , N. and Newbold , P. ( 1979 ) , ' Some Power Studies of a Portmanteau Test of Time Series Model Specification ' , Biometrika , 66 , 153-5 . Davies , N. , Triggs , C. M. and Newbold , P. ( 1977 ) , ' Significance Levels of the ...
This book presents the principles and methods for the practical analysis and prediction of economic and financial time series.
In an effort to save a herd of wild mustangs from horse killers, eighteen-year-old Sandra attempts to lead them several hundred miles across desert and mountains to safety on federal...