This book forecasts the world of 2030, which predictions estimate, will be radically transformed from our world today. By 2030, no country, whether the U.S., China, or any other large country, will be a hegemonic power. The empowerment of individuals and diffusion of power among states and from states to informal networks will have a dramatic impact, largely reversing the historic rise of the West since 1750, restoring Asia's weight in the global economy, and ushering in a new era of "democratisation" at the international and domestic level. In addition to individual empowerment and the diffusion of state power, two other megatrends will shape our world out to 2030: demographic patterns, especially rapid ageing; and growing resource demands which, in the cases of food and water, might lead to scarcities. These trends, which are virtually certain, exist today, but during the next 1520 years will gain much greater momentum. Underpinning the megatrends are tectonic shifts (ie: critical changes to key features of our global environment that will affect how the world "works").
In-depth research, detailed modeling and a variety of analytical tools drawn from public, private and academic sources were employed in the production of Global Trends 2030.
Alternative Worlds National Intelligence Council (US). INTERNATIONAL. REACTIONS. TO. GLOBAL. TRENDS. 2030. We met with experts in nearly 20 countries on five continents to solicit reactions to the initial draft of Global Trends 2030.
"This assessment was prepared under the auspices of the Counselor, National Intelligence Council."
This is the fifth installment in the National Intelligence Council's series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about possible futures and their implications.
MEGATRENDS * INDIVIDUAL EMPOWERMENT * POVERTY REDUCTION * AN EXPANDING GLOBAL MIDDLE CLASS * EDUCATION AND THE GENDER GAP * ROLE OF COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGIES * IMPROVING HEALTH * A MORE CONFLICTED IDEOLOGICAL LANDSCAPE * DIFFUSION OF ...
"By 2030, the demands and concerns of citizens in many different countries of the world are likely to converge, with a major impact on national politics and international relations.
" -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future.
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