Paye, B. S., and A. Timmermann. 2006. Instability of return prediction models. Journal of Empirical Finance 13:274–315. Pearson, E. 1938. The probability integral transformation for testing goodness of fit and combining independent ...
... described by a deterministic or integrated process ( see Perron and Phillips 1987 , Campbell and Mankiw 1987 ) . ... the summations are from 1 to p , 0 to q , 1 to r and 1 to s , respectively , with p , q , r and s being different .
A cut in government spending reduces real GDP more according to the IMF's MULTIMOD Mark III model than according to the NIESR's NiGEM model or to the European Commission's QUEST II model. Likewise, its immediate impact on inflation is ...
An overview of the macroeconomic forecasting industry in the United States that explains and evaluates the forecasting techniques used to make predictions about various aspects of the national economy.
In addition, the book addresses the main issues surrounding the use of forecasts (accuracy, communication challenges) and their policy implications. A tour of the economic data and forecasting institutions is also provided.
This two-volume set presents previously published papers addressing the long, sometimes checkered history of economic forecasting. In Volume I, 23 papers published between 1924 and 1997 discuss early attempts, macroeconomic...
Economic Forecasting
Economic Forecasting: Subset Time Series Models with Zero Coefficients
... Economics 120:387–422. Bhansali, R. J. 2002. Multi-step forecasting. A Companion to Economic Forecasting 206–21. Bilson, J. F. 1981. The “Speculative efficiency” hypothesis. Journal of Business 435–51. Bobkoski, M. 1983. Hypothesis ...