In Time Series Analysis and Adjustment the authors explain how the last four decades have brought dramatic changes in the way researchers analyze economic and financial data on behalf of economic and financial institutions and to provide statistics. An understanding of time series and the application and knowledge of related time series adjustment procedures is essential in areas such as risk management, business cycle analysis, and forecasting. The case studies in this book demonstrate that time series adjustment methods can be efficaciously applied and utilized, for both analysis and forecasting, but they must be used in the context of reasoned statistical and economic judgment -- this is the first known published study to really deal with this issue of context.
This compilation of 21 chapters showcases the cross-fertilization between the fields of time s
Some recent suggestions forestimation in the frequency domain (Hannan, 1969; Hannan and Nicholls, 1972; Nicholls, 1973; Nicholls et al., 1975, pp. 123–125; and Pukkila, 1977), however, lead to much simpler procedures for estimation of ...
The information given by seasonally adjusted series plays a very important role in the analysis of current ... each month over less than 1 year span, e.g., to compare May with April (1-month span) or May with February (3-month span).
A modernized new edition of one of the most trusted books on time series analysis. Since publication of the first edition in 1970, Time Series Analysis has served as one of the most influential and prominent works on the subject.
Forecasting is required in many situations.
The book teaches, with numerous examples, how to apply these procedures with very simple coding. In addition, it also gives the statistical background for interested readers.
This book presents an introduction to linear univariate and multivariate time series analysis, providing brief theoretical insights into each topic, and from the beginning illustrating the theory with software examples.
Davies , N. and Newbold , P. ( 1979 ) , ' Some Power Studies of a Portmanteau Test of Time Series Model Specification ' , Biometrika , 66 , 153-5 . Davies , N. , Triggs , C. M. and Newbold , P. ( 1977 ) , ' Significance Levels of the ...
This book discusses the statistical methods most often applied for such adjustments, ranging from ad hoc procedures to regression-based models. The latter are emphasized, because of their clarity, ease of application, and superior results.
The realization among econometricians and applied economists that seasonal variation in many time series is often larger and less regular than has been supposed, has recently led to an increased...